This thesis examines how German producers of whey powder can safeguard their exports to China against disruptions in the global supply chain. Based on literature, trade data and four in-depth interviews, it concludes that price fluctuations are less decisive than political, logistical and pandemic shocks …

Our planet’s weather patterns are changing, plastic pollution is increasing, economic volatility and social inequality are rising globally, and supply chains are becoming more unstable due to the overuse of vital resources. With its global reach and influence, the hospitality industry has the potential …

This study investigates the Topological Tail Dependence (TTD) theory’s applicability to individual stock volatility and high dimensions. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset from the S&P 100, the research employs various methodologies to test the predictions and implications of the TTD theory. The theory’s …

Purpose This study aims to critically evaluate the competitiveness of Transformer-based models in financial forecasting, specifically in the context of stock realized volatility forecasting. It seeks to challenge and extend upon the assertions of Zeng et al. (2023) regarding the purported limitations …

This paper presents a Python script that automates the estimation of Yang & Zhang’s stock realized volatility proxy for univariate and multivariate cases. Yang & Zhang’s realized volatility is a stock volatility proxy commonly used by financial researchers and practitioners due to its unbiasedness in …

This study proposes a novel loss function for neural network models that explores the topological structure of stock realized volatility (RV) data by adding Wasserstein Distance (WD). The study shows that the proposed loss statistically significantly improves the forecast accuracy of neural network models …

This paper presents a user-friendly version of Persistent Homology (PH) graph code to model financial market structures and changes. By leveraging Topological Data Analysis (TDA), the code offers an effective approach for analyzing high-dimensional stock data, enabling the identification of persistent …

This paper presents user-friendly code for the implementation of a loss function for neural network time series models that exploits the topological structures of financial data. By leveraging the recently-discovered presence of topological features present in financial time series data, the code offers …

This paper investigates the application of neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables (NBEATSx) in the prediction of daily stock realized volatility for various time steps. It compares NBEATSx’s forecasting accuracy and robustness with several commonly used models, namely Long-Short Term …

Vietnamese farmed pangasius products have experienced major price fluctuations over numerous crop cycles exposing this important export commodity to risk and uncertainty. This study focuses on two distinct areas of risk. First, this study seeks to measures the farm-gate price volatility, explores farmers’ …